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Applied Therapeutics (NASDAQ: APLT) 260% Surge: From Undervalued to Unstoppable

With shares soaring from $2.49 to $8.96, a strong cash position, and inclusion in the Russell 3000® Index cements APLT's' growing stature in the market.


Applied Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ: APLT), founded in 2016 and based in New York City, is making waves in the biopharmaceutical sector. The company has carved out a niche in developing cutting-edge treatments for cardiometabolic diseases, galactosemia, and diabetic complications, positioning itself as a frontrunner in addressing rare diseases with significant unmet medical needs. In a remarkable turn of events, Applied Therapeutics has demonstrated exceptional market performance over the past year. The company's stock, which was trading at a modest $2.49 just twelve months ago, has surged to an impressive $8.96. This represents a staggering 259.84% increase, highlighting the company's growing appeal to investors and the market's confidence in its potential.


The success of APLT serves as a testament to the power of advanced analytical tools in navigating the complex landscape of financial markets. It also reinforces the value of identifying high-potential stocks before they gain widespread recognition. Further validating this approach, our team unveiled a list of Top 5 stock picks on October 19th, 2023, carefully selected for their potential to deliver strong returns over a one-year period. As financial markets continue to evolve and become increasingly complex, such strategic, data-driven methodologies remain crucial for investors seeking to capitalize on emerging opportunities and navigate market dynamics effectively.


The Top 5 Performance Visualized


Top 5 Average ROI: 169.83%

Hit Ratio: 100% 

S&P 500 Performance: 39.32%

AI-Forecast Market Outperformance: 130.51%

Time Horizon: 365 Days (12-Months) 

Forecast Period: October 19th, 2023, to October 18th, 2024


1. Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (NYSE: WSM): 84.99%

2. Coinbase Global Inc (NASDAQ: COIN): 191.67%

3. Applied Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ: APLT): 259.84%

4. CleanSpark Inc (NASDAQ: CLSK): 213.66%

5. Synchrony Financial (NYSE: SYF): 99.01%


How a NYC Startup is Reshaping Rare Disease Treatment

The company's primary focus lies in its lead product candidate, govorestat (AT-007), which is being developed for the treatment of Classic Galactosemia and SORD Deficiency. These are both rare neurological disorders currently lacking approved treatment options. Applied Therapeutics' commitment to creating transformative treatments for rare diseases is evident in their close collaboration with regulatory agencies and patient advocacy groups.


Financial Position and Recent Developments:

As of June 30, 2024, Applied Therapeutics reported a robust cash position of $122.2 million, a significant improvement from $49.9 million at the end of 2023. This financial cushion is expected to fund operations into 2026, providing a solid runway for the company's ongoing research and development efforts. The substantial increase in cash reserves demonstrates the company's ability to secure funding, which is crucial for a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company with no approved products yet. This strong financial position allows Applied Therapeutics to continue its clinical trials and regulatory pursuits without immediate concerns about funding shortfalls.


The company's financial outlook could be further bolstered by the potential sale of a Priority Review Voucher (PRV), which would be granted upon approval of govorestat for Galactosemia. This could substantially extend the company's cash runway, offering additional financial flexibility. PRVs are highly valuable assets in the pharmaceutical industry, often selling for hundreds of millions of dollars. The potential acquisition of a PRV represents a significant opportunity for Applied Therapeutics to strengthen its financial position further, potentially funding additional research or accelerating its commercialization plans.


Regulatory Progress and Clinical Developments:

Govorestat for Classic Galactosemia is currently under FDA Priority Review with a PDUFA target action date of November 28, 2024. Simultaneously, a Marketing Authorization Application (MAA) is under review by the European Medicines Agency (EMA), with a decision expected in early Q1 2025. These parallel regulatory reviews in two major markets underscore the global potential of govorestat and Applied Therapeutics' strategic approach to seeking approval in multiple regions concurrently.


The FDA has tentatively scheduled a Genetic Metabolic Diseases Advisory Committee (GeMDAC) meeting for October 9, 2024, to discuss the New Drug Application (NDA) for govorestat in Classic Galactosemia. This meeting is a critical step in the approval process, as it allows external experts to review the data and provide recommendations to the FDA. The outcome of this meeting could significantly influence the final approval decision.


Importantly, updated cognition data showed significant improvement in the govorestat-treated group, strengthening the case for approval. This new data, demonstrating an improvement of approximately 8 points on a standard scale (p=0.032) compared to placebo, provides compelling evidence of govorestat's efficacy. Such positive clinical outcomes are crucial for regulatory approval and could potentially expedite the review process.


For SORD Deficiency, Applied Therapeutics has aligned with the FDA's Neurology I Division on plans to submit an NDA under Accelerated Approval, with submission expected in early Q1 2025. This alignment with the FDA on an accelerated approval pathway is significant, as it could potentially bring govorestat to market faster for SORD Deficiency patients. The company's ability to pursue multiple indications for govorestat demonstrates the drug's versatility and the potential for expanded market opportunities.


Financial Performance:

In Q2 2024, Applied Therapeutics reported research and development expenses of $10.0 million, down from $11.9 million in Q2 2023. This decrease reflects the company's progression from early-stage research to later-stage development and regulatory activities. The reduction in R&D expenses, coupled with advancing clinical programs, suggests improved operational efficiency.


General and administrative expenses increased to $10.6 million, up from $5.3 million in Q2 2023, primarily due to increased commercialization preparations. This rise in G&A expenses indicates that Applied Therapeutics is gearing up for potential product launches, a positive sign of the company's confidence in its regulatory prospects.


Notably, the company reported a net income of $2.9 million, or $0.02 per basic common share, compared to a net loss of $29.6 million in Q2 2023. This shift to profitability, even if potentially temporary, is a significant milestone for a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company and may indicate improving financial health and operational efficiency.


Market Recognition:

Applied Therapeutics was added to the Russell 3000® Index in June 2024, reflecting its growing market capitalization and potentially increasing its visibility to institutional investors. Inclusion in this widely-followed index can lead to increased trading volume and liquidity for the stock, as well as potential inclusion in index funds and ETFs that track the Russell 3000®. This recognition may attract more investor attention and could positively impact the company's ability to raise capital in the future if needed.


Conclusion:

Applied Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ: APLT) has emerged as a compelling success story in the biopharmaceutical sector, particularly in the realm of rare disease treatment. The company's remarkable stock performance, soaring from $2.49 to $8.96 in just one year, underscores the market's growing confidence in its potential. This 259.84% increase not only reflects investor optimism but also validates the company's strategic focus on addressing unmet medical needs.


The progress of govorestat, Applied Therapeutics' lead candidate for Classic Galactosemia and SORD Deficiency, through regulatory channels in both the U.S. and Europe, highlights the company's global ambitions and the potential broad impact of its research. The positive clinical data, particularly in cognition improvement, strengthens the case for govorestat's efficacy and potential market success.


Financially, Applied Therapeutics has demonstrated prudent management, with a strong cash position of $122.2 million as of June 30, 2024, ensuring operational runway into 2026. The company's transition to profitability in Q2 2024, albeit potentially temporary, marks a significant milestone in its journey from a clinical-stage to a potentially commercial-stage entity.


The inclusion in the Russell 3000® Index further cements Applied Therapeutics' growing stature in the market, potentially opening doors to increased investor interest and improved liquidity.


As Applied Therapeutics approaches critical regulatory milestones, including the FDA advisory committee meeting and potential approvals, it stands at the cusp of a potentially transformative period. While challenges inherent to the biopharmaceutical industry remain, the company's focused strategy, promising pipeline, and strong financial position make it a noteworthy player to watch in the rare disease treatment landscape.


For investors and industry observers alike, Applied Therapeutics represents not just a potential investment opportunity, but a prime example of how innovative approaches to challenging medical conditions can translate into significant market value. As the company continues to navigate the complex path from clinical development to commercialization, its journey offers valuable insights into the dynamics of successful biotech ventures in today's evolving healthcare landscape.




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Sources: 1. Applied Therapeutics Investor Relations, "Applied Therapeutics Reports Second Quarter 2024 Financial Results" (2024)


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